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    Why the Ukrainian war is good for American business?

    April 2022

    During his January 17th, 1961, farewell address US President Dwight Eisenhower warned against the threat posed to democratic government by the “military industrial complex”, formed by the military and the arms industry. A five – star general who commanded the D-Day landings in Europe in World War II, Eisenhower was concerned that funds would be siphoned off from constructing hospitals and schools to fuel an arms race with the Soviet Union.

    While the military budget is only 3.7% of GDP, the US spends on weaponry more than China, India, Russia, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, Germany, France, Japan, South Korea, Italy, and Australia, combined. The Biden administration’s current military budget is 782 billion dollar, an increase of 5.6% over 761 billion dollar for 2011. The US is by far the largest arms exporter, followed by Russia, France, and Germany. Exports finance research and development including manufacture. In other words, weapons beget weapons. Although he stirred up war fever over Ukraine, President Joe Biden never served in the military and received five draft deferments during the Vietnam war. Nevertheless, he has campaigned on his son Beau’s 2008 deployment to a combat zone in Iraq following the 2003 unprovoked US war of aggression and illegal occupation of that country. This month, Biden asked Congress for 33 billion dollar in funding for Ukraine. The package contains more than 20 billion dollar for weapons, 8.5 billion dollar in economic assistance for the government, and 3 billion dollar in humanitarian aid. It is in my opinion significant that 11.4 billion dollar of the sum for weapons is for replenishing stocks of arms manufacturers. This huge sum is in addition to 14 billion dollar Biden called for last month and the earlier 3.7 billion dollar in arms aid initially provided to Ukraine. This boosts the total 47.7 billion dollar. Looking at this figure someone could be under the impression that the US is fighting with Russia through Ukrainian soldiers on Ukrainian territory. By the way, the above mentioned sum is more than the administration has committed to fighting climate change.

    They argue that among “the primary benefactors of this aid package will be Pentagon contractors, whose CEO’s have explained how the Ukraine conflict is good for business and have seen their stock prices soar since the war began.”

    According to open secrets, the top five defense contractors spent more than 16 million dollar on lobbying in the first quarter of 2022 alone, and their CEO’s met directly with Pentagon leadership earlier to discuss Ukraine security assistance. It is quite obvious that US taxpayers will have to foot the bill for this historic aid package, including the “fraud waste” and “abuse” that, in my opinion, inevitably, accompany its use. Biden is not selling or gifting the arms. They have come under the latest version of the “lend-lease” act adopted by Congress this month. This bill allowed Biden to lend or lease military material to Ukraine for fiscal year 2022-2023 and ensures that deliveries will be prompt and avoid bureaucratic delays and obstacles. The original “lend-lease” legislation was adopted during the administration of Franklin D. Roosevelt in March 1941 to provide Britain, the Soviet Union, and other European countries with weapons, food and fuel to defend against the Nazis. At the time Roosevelt proposed the legislation the US claimed neutrality in the war against Nazism due to strong popular domestic opposition to US involvement in a second European conflict in less than half a century. The US only entered the war after the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor in December of that year but lend-lease carried on. Supplies worth 50.1 billion dollar – equivalent to more than 700 billion dollar now – were provided until the war ended in 1945. While most was not paid for, some ships were returned to the US and during the war the US was leased land for military bases in allied countries. This arrangement provided the US with footholds for the global military outreach developed over the decades and the Pentagon with funds to spend on arms from domestic military manufacturers. Biden’s bill would also empower the US Justice Department to seize Russian oligarchs’ properties and pass on cash realized from these expropriations to Ukraine as well as criminalize sanctions violations. US and NATO weaponry not only help Ukraine protect itself from Russia but also prolong a war which should have in my opinion never been waged in the first place.

    This is a war Ukraine in my opinion cannot win because the country is suffering massive military and civil deaths and destruction of its cities, towns and villages, roads and railways and manufacturing infrastructure. This is also in my opinion a totally unnecessary war.

    If Ukraine had taken the advice of well-meaning experts – including the current head of the US Central Intelligence Agency Bill Burns – Kyiv would have refrained from challenging Moscow by insisting on joining NATO. While serving as US ambassador to Russia he warned against this stance, contending this was a “red line” for Russia. “ Nyet means Nyet!” or “No means No!”. He was not the only person to repeatedly warn of the risks of expanding NATO eastwards.

    NATO itself in my opinion should also have taken this into account and made it clear that Ukraine should follow the example of neutral Finland and Sweden avoid disturbing the great bear that is Russia. Moscow, of course, will also be a loser in the war, but its losses will be far less serious than those of Ukraine, the battle ground country.

    The major moral and political losers will in my opinion be the Western powers which claim to uphold the “rule of law” and the UN Charter by supporting Ukraine in this proxy war against Russia while ignoring conflicts the US and other Western powers have had a hand in elsewhere, including Palestine, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and South Sudan. Little wonder that many countries of the “global south” do not support the US/NATO proxy war in Ukraine.